The main focus of this lesson is to guide you through the process of designing your own forex trading system.
While it doesn’t take long to come up with a system, it does take some time to extensively test it.
So be patient; in the long run, a good forex trading system can potentially make you a lot of money.
The first thing you need to decide when creating your system is what kind of forex trader you are.
Are you a day trader or a swing trader?
Do you like looking at charts every day, every week, every month, or even every year? How long do you want to hold on to your positions?
This will help determine which time frame you will use to trade. Even though you will still look at multiple time frames, this will be the main time frame you will use when looking for a trade signal.
Since one of our goals is to identify trends as early as possible, we should use indicators that can accomplish this.
Moving averages are one of the most popular indicators that traders use to help them identify a trend.
Specifically, they will use two moving averages (one slow and one fast) and wait until the fast one crosses over or under the slow one.
This is the basis for what’s known as a “ moving average crossover” system.
In its simplest form, moving average crossovers are the fastest ways to identify new trends. It is also the easiest way to spot a new trend.
Of course, there are many other ways forex traders spot trends, but moving averages are one of the easiest to use.
Our second goal for our system is to have the ability to avoid whipsaws, meaning that we don’t want to be caught in a “false” trend.
The way we do this is by making sure that when we see a signal for a new trend, we can confirm it by using other indicators.
There are many good technical indicators for confirming trends like MACD, Stochastic, and RSI.
As you become more familiar with various indicators, you will find ones that you prefer over others and can incorporate those into your system.
When developing your forex trading system, it is very important that you define how much you are willing to lose on each trade.
Not many people like to talk about losing, but in actuality, a good trader thinks about what he or she could potentially lose BEFORE thinking about how much he or she can win.
The amount you are willing to lose will be different than everyone else.
You have to decide how much room is enough to give your trade some breathing space, but at the same time, not risk too much on one trade.
You’ll learn more about money management in a later lesson. Money management plays a big role in how much you should risk in a single trade.
A trader should aways think about the potential loss BEFORE thinking about potential gain.
Once you define how much you are willing to lose on a trade, your next step is to find out where you will enter and exit a trade in order to get the most profit.
Some people like to enter as soon as all of their indicators match up and give a good signal, even if the candle hasn’t closed. Others like to wait until the close of the candle.
Others like to wait until the close of the candle.
One of the forex traders here in forexcec.com, Pip Surfer, believes that it is best to wait until a candle closes before entering.
He has been in many situations where he will be in the middle of a candle and all of the indicators match up, only to find that by the close of the candle, the trade has totally reversed on him!
It’s all really just a matter of trading style. Some people are more aggressive than others and you will eventually find out what kind of trader you are.
For example, in the chart below, this trader’s entry was when the candle closed below the support line.
For exits, you have a few different options.
One way is to trail your stop, meaning that if the price moves in your favor by ‘X’ amount, you move your stop by ‘X’ amount.
Another way to exit is to have a set target, and exit when the price hits that target. How you calculate your target is up to you. For example, some traders choose support and resistance levels as their targets.
In the chart below, the exit is set at a specific price which is near the bottom of the descending channel.
Others just choose to go for the same amount of pips ( fixed risk) on every trade.
However you decide to calculate your target, just make sure you stick with it. Never exit early no matter what happens.
Stick to your trading system!
After all, YOU developed it!
One more way you can exit is to have a set of criteria that, when met, would signal you to exit.
For example, you could make it a rule that if your indicators happen to reverse to a certain level, you would then exit out of the trade.
This is the most important step in creating your trading system. You MUST write your trading system rules down and ALWAYS follow it.
Discipline is one of the most important characteristics a trader must-have, so you must always remember to stick to your system!
No system will ever work for you if you don’t stick to the rules, so remember to be disciplined.
Oh yeah, did we mention you should ALWAYS stick to your rules?
The fastest way to test your system is to find a charting software package where you can go back in time and move the chart forward one candle at a time.
When you move your chart forward one candle at a time, you can follow your trading system rules and take your trades accordingly.
Record your trading record, and BE HONEST with yourself!
Record your wins, losses, average win, and average loss. If you are happy with your results then you can go on to the next stage of testing: trading live on a demo account.
Trade your new system live on a demo account for at least two months.
This will give you a feel for how you can trade your system when the market is moving. Trust us, it is very different trading live than when you’re backtesting.
After two months of trading live on a demo account, you will see if your system can truly stand its ground in the market.
If you are still getting good results, then you can choose to trade your system live on a REAL account.
At this point, you should feel very confident with your forex trading system and feel comfortable taking trades with no hesitation.